The Red Wave: What We Learned From The 2020 Election

The Red Wave: What We Learned From The 2020 Election

Nov 15, 2020 9:11 PM (EDT)

Trump's Movement Is Only Beginning

Trump made gains with every demographic besides White men. Twenty-six percent of Trump votes came from non-white Americans, the highest percentage for a Republican since 1960.

Black Support Increased

  • Trump's support from Black men increased by five percent (13% to 18%).
  • Trump doubled his support with Black women, increased by four percent, moving from 4% in 2016 to 8%.

Latino Support Increased

Women's Support Increased

  • Compared to 2016, Trump performed better with women as a whole
    • Five points better with both black and Hispanic women
    • Three points better with white women.
  • At least 13 Republican women are joining the 117th U.S. Congress after dominating the 2020 elections, making history for the highest number of women in the House of Representatives.

Marginalized Community Support Increased

  • Trump's numbers with the LGBTQ community jumped from 14% to 28%.
  • US President Donald Trump received the highest percentage of the Jewish vote for a Republican presidential candidate.

There Was A Red Wave

The House

The Senate

  • The GOP was defending 23 of the 35 seats up for election. They were also defending eight of the top 10 competitive races that appeared to have a solid chance of flipping.
  • As of 11/17/20, The GOP flipped a seat and the Democrats flipped two, great performance for a party with a lot to defend.

State Legislatures

  • Of the 98 partisan chambers, Republicans will control at least 59 next year.
  • Republicans will control both legislative chambers in 24 of the 36 states in which legislatures draw district lines for U.S. Congress, the state legislature itself, or both, according to the conference.


  • Trump won 60% of voters in small towns and rural areas.
  • In a handful of cities in key battleground states this month, Trump ran better than in 2016.
  • Democrats were counting on massive big-city margins this year - that didn't happen.

Sources: NYmag, WSJ, Fox, Politico